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Trump and India

Highlights

  • President Donald Trump confirmed Thursday that he will visit India next year during trade negotiations.
  • Trump praised Prime Minister Narendra Modi, calling him a great friend and a great man.
  • The US imposed a 50% tariff on Indian imports over concerns about Russian oil purchases
  • India and the US are working to finalise the first part of the bilateral trade agreement by November 2025
  • Trump said Modi has largely stopped buying Russian oil, but this is denied by India

Trump Confirms India Visit Plans

US President Donald Trump told reporters Thursday he will visit India next year while trade talks between Washington and New Delhi continue. Speaking from the Oval Office on November 6, Trump praised Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi as a great friend and great man. When reporters asked if he would travel to India next year, Trump answered yes. He said Modi wants him to visit, and they will figure out the details.

Trump said his trade negotiations with Modi are going very well right now. The two leaders communicate frequently, according to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. She confirmed earlier this week that the president speaks pretty frequently with Modi and maintains a very positive outlook on their relationship. The two leaders spoke during White House Diwali celebrations in October, where Trump sent warm greetings to the Indian leader. Leavitt called India a critical partner for the United States.

High Tariffs Create Tension

The trade talks take place as both countries work toward completing the initial phase of a bilateral trade deal by November 2025. Not all is well, however. India currently incurs the highest US tariffs for any major trading partner at 50 per cent total- against a baseline 10 per cent duty, a 25 per cent reciprocal tariff and an additional 25 per cent penalty. This penalty was added due to India’s purchases of Russian oil.

Trump addressed the issue of Russian oil in his Thursday remarks, claiming that Modi has largely stopped buying Russian crude oil. But India has repeatedly denied such claims. The Indian government says energy policy is guided by national interests and what’s good for consumers. They won’t change their oil-buying decisions based on pressures from other countries.

India Still Buying Russian Oil

Recent figures from maritime intelligence company Kpler show that India’s Russian oil imports averaged about 1.48 million barrels per day in October, up from September levels. So, Trump’s claim that India largely stopped buying Russian oil doesn’t match the real data. At present, India imports about 34 per cent of its crude oil from Russia. About 10 per cent of India’s energy needs are met by US suppliers.

New U.S. sanctions on Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil take effect on November 21st. Indian refiners accounting for over half the country’s Russian crude imports are expected to reduce direct purchases of Russian crude because of these sanctions. But this happens because of the sanctions, not because Modi agreed to stop buying. Trump has repeatedly asked India to buy less Russian energy and more American energy instead.

Trade Deal Progress Despite Issues

Despite the tensions over tariffs and differences over oil, neither side wants to see an improvement in their trade relationship. In the remarks in the Oval Office, Trump said he feels very strongly about the India-US relationship. During his Asia tour earlier this year, Trump had said India was being very good on the issue of Russian oil. He claimed Modi personally promised him to reduce or stop crude imports from Moscow.

Trump also made the unusual claim on Thursday that his tariffs helped avert wars. He said of the eight wars he ended, five or six were because of tariffs. Trump referred to a past episode involving India and Pakistan, saying that his approach to trade pressure effectively stopped tensions between the two nuclear-armed nations. Most experts would disagree with this claim about tariffs preventing wars.

White House Emphasises Partnership

The White House spokesperson, Caroline Leavitt, reaffirmed Trump’s commitment to better ties with India. A few weeks ago, Trump spoke to Modi directly when he celebrated Diwali in the Oval Office with many high-ranking Indian-American officials at the White House. The comments hint at increasing engagement between the two governments as both sides try to address trade imbalances and energy dependencies.

India and the United States have developed a partnership over the last years in matters concerning defence, technology, and education. Among Indian-Americans, many are holding significant positions in American companies and government. Trump’s visit would mark an important moment in diplomacy between the two countries, indicating that notwithstanding tariff and oil disagreements, the overall relationship remains strong, and both leaders wish to work on common interests and goals for their countries.

FAQs

Q: When is Trump coming to India?

A: Trump said he would go to India next year, but he did not name a specific date. Trump said Modi wants him to visit and they will work it out.

Q: Why did the US impose a 50% tariff on India?

A: The 50% tariff combines several duties, including a 25% penalty linked to India’s purchases of Russian oil that the US opposes.

Q: Is India really stopping Russian oil purchases?

A: No, contrary to Trump’s claim, data from various sources indicate that India imported 1.48 million barrels per day of Russian oil in October, about 34% of its total crude imports.

Q: What trade deal are India and the US negotiating?

A: The countries hope to seal the first part of a bilateral trade agreement that would help both countries overcome their trade imbalances by November 2025.

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