RBA Signals Uncertainty After 4.1% March Rate Hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia enacted its cash rate to 4.10 per cent in March during its most divided vote in memory, a 5-4 split. The minutes released Tuesday suggest the board can’t figure out with much confidence what the future path for rates will look like as everything hinges on how the Middle East conflict plays out. With oil averaging close to $US100 ($140)a barrel, the RBA says inflation could peak at 5 per cent in the June quarter instead of 3.7 per cent. Markets are pricing a 60 per cent chance of another hike in May, with rates potentially reaching 4.75 per cent by the end of the year.